Thursday, March 19, 2009

National Economic Net Worth Index

My research has concluded that the poor performance of the equity markets since the start of the century is directly related to the decline in our nation's economic net worth - defined as Real GDP Per Capita minus the sum of consumer debt per capita and national debt per capita.
This information was extracted from official U.S. Government sources.

The sum of consumer debt and national debt has risen 77% since 1995. Real GDP per capita rose 28% in this period. At the end of 2008, the index turned negative for the first time after steadily declining since 1975.

See the relationships of the Net Worth Index ((C) 2009, Y Squared Ad visors) to the returns of the S&P 500 index spanning 1975-2008.

Comments welcomed. This is a proprietary index.

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